Capra Tensor

Short-Term Forecasting

We develop AI machine-learning tools for energy markets. Our models are trained over vast amounts of data to forecast rolling 168 hours (prompt week). Amongst the input features are highly detailed weather, capacity, demand-drivers, seasonality and other features to produce hourly electricity market forecasts of:

  • Hourly spot prices (expected and 5%, 10%, 90% and 95% percentiles)
  • Probability of price events: spikes, negative / low power prices and several mid-range events
  • Aggregate output of wind and solar production
  • Load and residual load.

All our production models currently apply to the German power market. 

Our forecasts beat top in class back-testing results with R2 of up to 99% and Brier scores of 0.03 and lower.

Models are available to premium subscribers via a feature-rich web-based interface or we can offer more direct integration into your operational system.

Other countries are in development.

Capra Tensor

Machine learning models forecasting 168-hours of power spot-prices, spike and low-price probabilities, wind & solar production and (residual) load to support near-term trading and asset optimisation.

Advisory

Independent commercial and market advisory covering long-term revenue forecasting, risk management, hedging and market optimisation.

Historic RES and BESS Revenue Analysis

Benchmark your asset or investment opportunity against historic capture price and revenue data for RES and BESS.

Market News, Teasers, and Networking

Post and browse teasers relating to development or operating assets. See who is doing what in our market news section or connect with other members.